1st Quarter 2023

Compensation Trends and Projections May 2023 Johnson Associates projections at Q1 2023. Confluence of interest rates, economic uncertainty, bank collapses, and uneven performance across sectors makes 2023 uneven and complicated year in financial services.

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3rd Quarter 2022

Compensation Trends and Projections November 2022 After the third quarter, Johnson Associates projects a sharp year-end decrease in incentive compensation across financial services. Most sectors fall from exceptionally strong 2021. Inflation further impacts real compensation outcomes. These factors make year-end decisions more complicated and variable.

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2nd Quarter 2022

Compensation Trends and Projections August 2022 Johnson Associates analysis after Q2 indicates a projected year-end decrease in incentive compensation. Additionally, inflation will have meaningful impact on financial services compensation outcomes.

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1st Quarter 2022

Compensation Trends and Projections May 2022 Johnson Associates projects a decrease in incentive compensation across financial services for 2022. Asset management incentives down significantly on declining markets. Private equity incentives dip lower on slowdown in fundraising and fewer realizations while hedge funds remain flat as market volatility leads to strong inflows. For the first time…

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3rd Quarter 2021

Compensation Trends and Projections November 2021 After the third quarter, Johnson Associates projects significantly year-end increases in incentive compensation across financial services. Investment & commercial banking profits up sharply with release of loan loss provisions and record investment banking. Asset management incentives up on rising markets. Private equity incentives higher on strong fundraising and realizations…

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2nd Quarter 2021

Compensation Trends and Projections August 2021 After the second quarter, Johnson Associates projects meaningful year-end increases in incentive compensation across financial services. Investment & commercial banking profits up sharply with release of loan loss provisions and booming investment banking. Asset management incentives up as markets drive higher. Private equity incentives higher on fundraising and deal…

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1st Quarter 2021

Compensation Trends and Projections May 2021 Johnson Associates had optimistic projections for year-end 2021 after the first quarter. Net inflows and strong markets for asset management. Private equity incentives higher as fundraising rebounds. Hedge funds capitalized on inflows with strong performance.

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3rd Quarter 2020

Compensation Trends and Projections November 2020 After the third quarter, Johnson Associates projects year-end decreases in incentive compensation across financial services. Major investment & commercial banks had strong investment banking performance but weak results in commercial and retail banking. Despite dramatic market recovery, asset management, hedge funds, and private equity incentives decline moderately.

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2nd Quarter 2020

Compensation Trends and Projections August 2020 Johnson Associates projections after Q2 2020 indicate broad decreases in financial services. Dramatic market recovery has alleviated fears of catastrophic year for financial services pay. However, shift to lower fee products, debt defaults, bankruptcies, and curbed consumer/business activity explain disconnect between stock performance and current corporate earnings.

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1st Quarter 2020

Compensation Trends and Projections May 2020 Preliminary projections for 2020 indicate likely a year of wide variations in incentive outcomes between stronger and weaker competitors. Number of compensation scenarios that could ultimately occur depending on virus recovery timetable, but the overall incentive trend is down based on data as of Q1 2020. Major investment &…

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